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How to fill out your NCAA tournament bracket and win your pool - College Basketball


The NCAA men's basketball tournament is around the corner, which means time is running out to complete your bracket and then drive yourself crazy obsessively tinkering with your picks. It wouldn't be March Madness, of course, if there weren't at least a few Cinderella teams that will invariably come out of nowhere and knock off some big-name programs in the early rounds.

With the help of several college basketball experts around the internet, we narrowed in on five first-round upset picks that will put you well on your way to winning your office pool. Of course, there is a reason these are upset picks, so tread carefully and please don't take this as gospel.

Below are our five favorite upset picks. SI senior writer Seth Davis names four underdogs that could advance far in the NCAA tournament. Picks and Parlays is the leading source of information and expert NCAA basketball picks giving you the winners you need to dominate the sportsbooks. We provide the best college basketball predictions, covering you for all lined games all season long, from November through the madness in March.

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See full list of Top 25 teams, betting odds, must know trends, and click on the Free Betting Pick to get betting pick for. Now that the NCAA Tournament field is set, fans and casual bracketologists have 68 of the best college basketball teams to analyze in order to figure out who's going to win the national championship in Minneapolis.

Like the Super Bowl and Kentucky Derby, the tournament is one of the few unavoidable sporting events every year. When March Madness sets in, America gets obsessed with filling out the perfect bracket. The right upset pick can separate the contenders from the busted brackets in office pools. Whether you think Northeastern is going to send perennial powerhouse Kansas home early or Florida is going to keep Nevada from making it back to the Sweet Sixteen, let us know which first-round upsets you expect to see in the NCAA Tournament. Share All sharing options for 11 NCAA tournament upset picks, grouped by plausibility.

And you shouldn’t pick Davidson because you have fond memories of Stephen Curry’s tournament run there in Consider Davidson because it’s an elite shooting team. Among tournament teams, DU is eighth in effective field goal percentage and in opponent-adjusted points per possessions.

Their defense is their best asset, particularly the way they seal off the paint with a pair of 6’10 frontcourt players, Malik Pope and Jalen McDaniels. Houston’s own defense is great, and the Cougars would win the majority of the meetings between these teams.

But the Aztecs aren’t likely to get routed, and they should have an opportunity at the end. Picking favorites in the NCAA tournament is the smart play. In matchups where there is a favorite in terms of seeding, the higher seed has won 71 percent of the time since, the first year under the current tournament format.

But it’s the upsets and Cinderella teams that get you bragging rights and the edge you need to win your bracket pool. And we’ve developed a new lens to spot them before you make your bracket picks. Here are the best upset picks to make in the first round. The teams best built to topple favorites are the ones that have a high scoring margin while creating extra posse. Live NCAA tournament brackets from freestyle-slalom.com Check real time scores, game times, stats, live streaming, video highlights, previews and recaps.

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NCAA Tournament Best upset picks, vulnerable top seeds, bracket analysis and emoji for every team, Care about college basketball, Root for Iowa State. The only thing better than watching crazy upsets go down is nailing the upset picks in your bracket.

That’s easier said than done in a recent national online bracket contest, the average upset was picked by only 19 of brackets. Upsets also bust brackets by sending some highly-seeded favorites home early. Case-in-point in 62 of ESPN Challenge brackets had Michigan State in the Final Four, and the Spartans had the 2nd-most picks to win the championship.

But madness ensued Tom Izzo’s squad was eliminated by seed Middle Tennessee State in the first round. I sought out to beat the odds by using data and machine learning to predict upsets in the NCAA Tournament.

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Defining upsets using team seeds.

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One of the best things about March Madness is the upsets and unpredictability of the tournament. While it is impossible to see everything coming in college basketball this time of year, there are a few teams that have the makings of being a Cinderella during March Madness.

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There are certain principles most of us know are true when picking upsets. According to freestyle-slalom.com, seeds average about six upset wins in the first round every year.

Before you go picking your six upsets, here is a word of caution. While we like these teams chances in the opening round, very few sleepers have a chance of making it past the Sweet Picking the wrong upsets could end up costing you your bracket pool, so proceed with caution. The NCAA Tournament bracket is officially out, which means it’s time to start trying to formulate your own strategy for March Madness.

It’s easy to pick the favorites to advance past the first round and to the Final Four. But isn’t quite as fun as going for the upsets and often isn’t the best strategy. To help you out, here’s a breakdown of some of the best upset picks to make in the first round. Play in MassLive’s March Madness bracket challenge brought to you by MGM where you can win the 1 million national prize, along with local prizes.

Now, when we say upset," we don’t mean a. No one has ever picked a perfect NCAA tournament bracket. But you also won't win your bracket pool or have a better March Madness season than your friends or co-workers without picking some upsets. On average, there are three lower seeds which are a minimum of five seeds below the team they beat which means no or match ups who win in the first round every year. There could be, and often are more. Here are five teams we've pinpointed as being prime picks as first round Cinderella's.

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NCAA tournament bracket help Four smartest first-round upset picks of March Madness. Winning your NCAA tournament bracket pool can be contingent on making smart picks.

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But the smartest picks aren't just making Duke your national champion you know, since everyone is probably picking Duke. Here's a look at the four best bets for bracket-busting by double-digit seeds No. 11 seed Belmont over Temple and No.

6 Maryland The Bruins, one of the first mid-majors to garner an at-large bid in years, will start their tourney in the first-four round with a tough matchup in Dayton vs. NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions, Picks Ranking the Most Likely Upsets. Credit The Flames shoot the ball well, ranking seventh in the nation in both 2-point field goal percentage and free throw percentage, but that’s about where the positives end.

Overall, they’re outside the top 50 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, and they have a few big weaknesses. Notably, they’re poor on the glass and never really get to the free throw line. They’re an incredibly slow-paced team that will have to rely solely on a hot shooting day to hang.

And that’ll be tough against a Mississippi State team that ranks within the top 15 nationally in offense. The Bulldogs are also a good s.

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For the most part, picking favorites in the NCAA tournament is a smart play. But that doesn't mean you should be content picking chalk. Pitt does just about everything well, crashing the offensive glass and protecting the ball, and nearly all of its losses have been close and to quality opponents, with only one by double digits.

Meanwhile, Colorado has lost nine games by double digits and has played the last two months without leading scorer Spencer Dinwiddie, who tore his ACL.

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Probably a popular upset pick, but only because everyone hates Duke. Mercer does have a solid win over Ole Miss on its resume and is one of the best outside shooting teams in the country, but if you're a fan of entertaining basketball, you should actually be rooting for more Duke. Picking favorites to advance in the NCAA Tournament is a solid strategy to rack up points in your bracket pool, but you will need to find some upsets and Cinderella teams to get the edge you need to take first place.

The teams best built to topple favorites are the ones that have a high scoring margin while creating extra possessions through turnovers and offensive rebounds. The Washington Post’s DAViD metric, the Data-Assisted Victory Detector for the NCAA Tournament, debuted last year and helps highlight which of these first-round upsets are most likely to occur and which will provide the mo.

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NCAA Tournament Picks These are my quick NCAA Tournament picks for My selections write-ups are available via the following links. NCAA Tournament Picks write-ups South. The NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament involved 68 teams playing in a single-elimination tournament to determine the men's National Collegiate Athletic Association NCAA Division I college basketball national champion for the 16 season.

The edition of the Tournament began on March 15, and concluded with the championship game on April 4 at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. The NCAA Tournament bracket is set, which means it's time to be wrong, mostly, but also to speculate on this year's crop of Cinderellas. The NCAA's selection method and subsequent seeding all but guarantees some upsets that will look surprising based on brand and seeds, but which will likely be less so if you dig a bit deeper into the underlying numbers.

The tournament selection committee teams based off their "resumes" and the extremely faulty RPI formula, meaning teams are rewarded more for winning certain games than for their overall strength. 12 seed upset, and by advanced stats, this is the best-looking selection of the bracket. 38 in KenPom, while Baylor ranks No. That's not a wide margin for a game. Successfully picking upsets is also a favorite pastime of the millions of fans who fill out a bracket, but there is an art to that hobby.

You’ve got to be smart about picking the early upsets and the mid-major teams capable of making a deep run. Among double-digit seeds, it should come as no surprise that No. 10 seeds have the best shot at winning their first game. But if you’re picking a team to make it as far as the Elite Eight or Final Four, your chances are better by going with a No.

That get all the attention in the first round largely because at least one No.

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The first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament were as thrilling as ever, producing 15 upsets according to seedings. We saw the first ever over-1 upset for goodness sakes! UMBC put its school on the map, and is guaranteed to be one of the first images in this year’s One Shining Moment, not to mention March Madness montages for the rest of time.

For fans, upsets are exciting to watch and fun to talk about with other fans. As coaches, we know there are deeper reasons why these Cinderella teams were able to take down their heavily favored opponent. Let’s look at some of the sets run by these underdogs from the first two rounds of March Madness.

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Click on a play to view more info and download it directly to yo. The number of upsets you should take correlates to the size of your pooleither way, it’s fewer than you think.

The maniacal act of filling out an NCAA tournament bracket is nothing short of a national obsession. At this time every year, office workers stop working to start researching the trendiest picks. There is usually money on the line. There are definitely bragging rights. But here’s the depressing reality of all that effort You would probably do better by doing nothing at all. Upsets happen every year at the NCAA Tournament, but there is something about the 125 games that just scream upset city.

It just feels natural picking at least one upset in a 125 game every year. According to OddsShark, only once in the past 16 March Madness tournaments have the 5 seeds shut out the 12 seeds, and for that scenario you have to go back to Over the past four seasons, five 12 seeds won outright to continue this hazardous pairing which busts so many brackets.

Minnesota is a better rebounding team than MTSU, but the Blue Raiders have been there done that, can put the ball in the basket and are overall a more athletic bunch. 15 UNC-Wilmington over 5 Virginia East Region. The national champion, Villanova enters the NCAA tournament as one of the four No.

Outside of the tournament, a 12 seed has won at least one of the four 512 matchups in each season dating back to the big dance. In fact, since that year, 12 seeds are, with at least two advancing in one tourney six times in 10 years. Last year, it was Middle Tennessee shocking Minnesota in the Round of According to our numbers, New Mexico State are the No. Don’t advance a double-digit seed to the Final Four.

Over the last 18 tournaments, only three times has a team with a seed of 10 or higher made the Final Four. Of course, we’re not denying t.

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On a good day they can beat anybody, but they’ve also been through a lot of turmoil right now with their coach being suspended and they’ve become part of the recruiting scandal and investigation and they didn’t play particularly well in the SEC tournament. DS If I were to pick I would have Tennessee beating Virginia in a regional final, but I think you can make a case that Virginia has one of the easier paths.

They beat Arizona in the tournament last year, they’re better this year, they went to Syracuse during the regular season and won this year and assuming they get by their first-round game, I want to see what they do.

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Then, if they get by that, can they beat Michigan. NCAA Tournament bracket picks West Region. Is this the year Gonzaga breaks the last barrier?

They already have been to the Elite Eight. They’ve had a first-team All-American. They’ve had NBA lottery picks. This once-tiny program in the Pacific Northwest built itself into a national power whose success threatens so many supporters of power-conference programs they’ve invented a narrative that suggests a team that’s been to the second weekend of the past two tournaments and is in first-round games is someho. NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Schedule, TV Info.

1 seeds in the Sweet 16, FiveThirtyEight gives Duke the best chance at pulling off the upset with 43 percent win probability. The Blue Devils may have a thin squad but have shown toughness and spirit in this tournament. Our house is on a cliff, and we hope it doesn’t rain, coach Mike Krzyzewski said, per Kyle Hightower of the Associated Press ht Washington Post.

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Seth Davis’ NCAA Tournament analysis. My strategy for picking brackets is there is no strategy.

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I don’t like to pick chalk, but I don’t like to force upsets, either.

Virginia and Villanova were clearly the two best teams in the country this season. It’s only natural to expect them to be the last two teams standing. I took the longest to decide between Virginia-Arizona and Duke-Michigan State in the Sweet. College Basketball Insider Evan Daniels joins Doug Gottlieb on today's show.

Hear who Evan picks to upset in the first round of the NCAA tournament.

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The first weekend of last year’s NCAA tournament was upset-riddled madness.

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We had our first upset in tournament history, and plenty of quality teams saw their championship hopes end early. While we might not see another upset anytime soon, there will be upsets this year and picking upsets is no easy task. We’re here to help with these potential three upsets for your bracket.

It’s basically bracket rule No. 1 to have a upset because, well, upsets almost always happen. Last year, every 5 seed took care of business, but Wisconsin didn’t get lucky with this game against Oregon. The Ducks have been playing their best basketball of the season, winning eight straight games and the Pac tournament title. Remember, last-minute flights are always priced much higher, so do not wait until after the first and second rounds to book tickets.

Use the freestyle-slalom.com Low Fare Calendars below to find the best dates to travel. Traveling one day earlier or one day later can mean saving or more, so be flexible. And do your homework, just like when filling out your bracket! Which makes me wonder, how are my upset picks? Note These fares were found Monday, March 12 and will likely change often.

Airfare pricing is dynamic and fluctuates rapidly, especially for last minute travel.

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PagesBusinessesMedianews companyBroadcasting media production companyESPN The ZoneVideosWhat are your best upset picks in this year’s NCAATournament.

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The best part of filling out an NCAA Tournament bracket is picking upsets to impress your friends and co-workers in your bracket pool. It’s always fun to pick upsets based on mascots or which states you like the most, but there’s actually a science to picking upsets that can help you win your bracket pool.

In its selection criteria, the NCAA ignores crucial stats that can help predict performance, such as margin of victory, which leads to teams being gravely under-seeded or over-seeded. Without using margin of victory as a determination, the NCAA has no idea how to compare teams from small and.

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The NCAA Tournament starts Thursday. Whether it's sports betting or brackets, we got you covered with best bets, sleepers and upsets for the Midwest region. Northeastern +7 is my upset pick in the region.

The pesky Huskies will give Kansas all it wants and if the Jayhawks are struggling offensively, they could go home early. My top overall play in the opening round though is Utah State I love this Aggies team and they are a nightmare matchup for Washington’s zone. Most people think the way to beat the zone is to shoot the ball from three-point range. While that certainly helps and Utah is a good shooting team, what really hurts the zone are teams that pass the ball well.

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The NCAA Tournament is finally here! Will Gonzaga finally win its first national championship? Will Zion Williamson’s shoe explode again? The Blue Devils are led by four soon-to-be first-round draft picks, including Zion Williamson, one of the greatest talents in recent memory. Duke is a walking highlight reel on the offensive end and far stingier on defense than many may realize.

Top seed outlook Gonzaga is the best team in the West by a considerable margin, but the Zags, despite reaching the final two years ago, haven’t always performed well under the bright lights of the tournament.

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But unless you root for the team on the wrong end of one, they are the happiest things on Earth. They should be called overjoyeds. There are two kinds of tournament underdogs. There is the team that makes an unlikely deep run to the second weekend, the regional final, the Final Four by artfully dodging the biggest threats, by emerging as a great squad in its own right. Then there is the team that knocks off a contender before normalcy reasserts itself. Rather, these six teams stand a better chance of winning their first games than you and, more important-, the other people in your pool might think.

Don’t sleep on the unlikeliest likeliest of all, at the bottom. Murray State Will Beat Marquette.

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Picking favorites in the NCAA tournament is the smart play, but it's the upsets and Cinderella teams that make it memorable and help you get the edge you need to win your bracket pool. As we decipher which upset picks look like the smartest plays in Round 1, we are going to focus on the true underdogs a No. 8 seed in the first round is technically an upset, but those winners at least three seeds below the favorite they are facing is where the true value lies.

One upset we won't be picking is a No. The teams best built to topple favorites are the ones that have a high scoring margin while creating extra possessions through turnovers and offensive rebounds.

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The NCAA men's basketball tournament is around the corner, which means time is running out to complete your bracket and then drive yourself crazy obsessively tinkering with your picks.

It wouldn't be March Madness, of course, if there weren't at least a few Cinderella teams that will invariably come out of nowhere and knock off some big-name programs in the early rounds. With the help of several college basketball experts around the internet, we narrowed in on five first-round upset picks that will put you well on your way to winning your office pool. Of course, there is a reason these are upset picks, so tread carefully and please don't take this as gospel.

Below are our five favorite upset picks.

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And darn near impossible to predict. Millions try in particular to pick upsets and identify Cinderellas. They build statistical models and study hours of film. But there is very little consistent rhyme or reason to underdog runs. Very few formulas that offer any help. [Best bracket wins 1M Enter our free contest now! With all that being said, however previously on Yahoo Sports’ Potential Cinderellas But never has he had a better opportunity for a first.

This Bruins team has a potent, sharpshooting offense led by potential NBAer Dylan Windler. It also has a pod of beatable teams around it.

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The Sweet 16 expert predictions for the NCAA Tournament. NCAA Basketball Tournament Elite Eight Predictions, Lines, TV Schedule, Game Times.

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Well, maybe fans of the higher seeded teams. Check out the four smartest upset picks in the first round. The temas on this list have been ranked in the Top 25 a majority of the season, but don't rely on them to make a deep run.

Each could run into trouble early in the tournament. March Madness Best of NCAA tournament's First Four. He picked up his first NCAA tournament win. Rick Osentoski, USA TODAY Sports.

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A look at the top 10 upsets in NCAA tournament history, with incredible first round knockoffs and Cinderella runs deep into the tournament. If you’ve ever sat down to fill out an NCAA tournament bracket you know how maddening it is when virtual unknown up-ends a contender and completely trashes your predictions.

Maybe that’s why it’s called March Madness. There are almost always upsets but only a few are particularly shocking. Along with the event, when Virginia was upset by UMBC pictured, the Holy Grail of NCAA upsets, we’ve seen a fair share of incredible first round knockoffs and Cinderella runs deep into the tournament by teams we never expected remember George Mason.

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Watch video March Madness Upset Picks and Predictions for NCAA Tournament Sleepers. Views 30 Added by WagerTalk TV Sports Picks and Betting Tips. Video uploaded 20 See all videos on Attvideo.

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As you start to fill out NCAA Tournament brackets for your pools, Athlon Sports did some of the homework for your basketball cram session. March Madness is unpredictable, and we expect it to be again.

But there are some tried and true trends in the Tournament, and we’ll break them down here. These are our favorite rules for picking our brackets, along with some of the examples from this year’s field.

1 seeds and maybe all of the No. 1 seed has never lost in the round of Don’t fall in love with upsets. Wichita State, Butler, VCU and George Mason in the Final Four are all memorable. So is Florida Gulf Coast’s run to the Sweet 16 two years.

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The tournament is about to tip off! My entire NCAA Tournament Package is just 99 at freestyle-slalom.com Today's FREE Winner is my March Madness Upset Pick of.

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In the context of the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament, a single-elimination tournament, this generally constitutes a lower seeded team defeating a higher-seeded i.e., higher-ranked team a widely recognized upset is one performed by a team ranked substantially lower than its opponent. This is the list of victories by teams seeded 11 or lower in the tournament since it expanded to 64 teams in as these low-seeded teams were automatically paired against higher-seeded teams at the start of the tournament, their opening victories are almost always considered upsets to date.

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The NCAA tournament bracket was unveiled in the last hour - download your own copy here! Here are your big storylines, along with some of my own initial thoughts about the way the bracket is set up, from seedings to potentially intriguing matchups, including teams that should be on upset alert.

1 seeds Kentucky, Villanova, Duke, Wisconsin. They have good looking athletes, big powerful people whom committee members can envision winning a game against other teams with similarly good looking athletes. You talk yourself into thinking these kinds of results are better than they are freestyle-slalom.com kubo12 vegasWATCH March 15.